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@ARTICLE{Peil:644519,
author = {Peñil, Pablo and Torres-Albà, Nuria and Rico, Alba and
Ajello, Marco and Buson, Sara and Adhikari, Sagar},
title = {{D}istortions in periodicity analysis of blazars: the
impact of flares},
journal = {Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society},
volume = {539},
number = {2},
issn = {0035-8711},
address = {Oxford},
publisher = {Oxford Univ. Press},
reportid = {PUBDB-2026-00378, arXiv:2504.05092},
pages = {993 - 1014},
year = {2025},
note = {2 tables, 8 figures},
abstract = {Blazars, a unique class of active galactic nuclei, exhibit
highly variable emission across the electromagnetic
spectrum. This variability frequently manifests as intense
flaring events, sparking an ongoing debate in recent
literature about whether these flares exhibit periodic
behaviour in certain sources. However, many blazars also
show clear signs of stochastic, uncorrelated flares that do
not follow a regular pattern. This paper explores how the
presence of one such of these stochastic flares can distort
an intrinsically periodic pattern of emission in blazars.
Our results demonstrate that, depending on the specific
circumstances, the deviations in significance and periods
can exceed 100 per cent. Sometimes, these deviations can be
so severe that they eliminate any evidence of a periodic
pattern. These findings highlight the dramatic impact that
flares can have on periodicity searches. To confront this
challenge, we propose an innovative approach, the Singular
Spectrum Analysis method, which appears more robust against
the effects of flares. As an alternative solution, we also
propose the sigma clipping technique to mitigate the impact
of flares. This framework offers a valuable foundation for
analysing periodicity in similar astrophysical sources that
are also subject to stochastic flaring events.},
keywords = {BL Lacertae objects: general (autogen) / methods: data
analysis (autogen) / galaxies: active (autogen)},
cin = {$Z_GA$},
ddc = {520},
cid = {$I:(DE-H253)Z_GA-20210408$},
pnm = {613 - Matter and Radiation from the Universe (POF4-613) /
DFG project G:(GEPRIS)443220636 - FOR 5195: Relativistische
Jets in Aktiven Galaxien (443220636)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-613 / G:(GEPRIS)443220636},
experiment = {EXP:(DE-MLZ)NOSPEC-20140101},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
eprint = {2504.05092},
howpublished = {arXiv:2504.05092},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
SLACcitation = {$\%\%CITATION$ = $arXiv:2504.05092;\%\%$},
doi = {10.1093/mnras/staf482},
url = {https://bib-pubdb1.desy.de/record/644519},
}