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@ARTICLE{Peil:643486,
author = {Peñil, P. and Torres-Albà, N. and Rico, A. and Buson,
Sara and Ajello, M. and Domínguez, A. and Adhikari, S.},
title = {{D}istortions in periodicity analysis of blazars – {II}:
the impact of gaps},
journal = {Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society},
volume = {544},
number = {4},
issn = {0035-8711},
address = {Oxford},
publisher = {Oxford Univ. Press},
reportid = {PUBDB-2026-00233},
pages = {4665 - 4688},
year = {2025},
note = {cc-by},
abstract = {Time series analysis is fundamental to characterizing the
variability inherent in multiwavelength emissions from
blazars. However, a major observational challenge lies in
the need for well-sampled, temporally uniform data, which is
often hindered by irregular sampling and data gaps. These
gaps can significantly affect the reliability and accuracy
of methods used to probe source variability. This paper
investigates the impact of such observational gaps on time
series analysis of blazar emissions. To do so, we
systematically evaluate how these gaps alter observed
variability patterns, mask genuine periodic signals, and
introduce false periodicity detections. This evaluation is
conducted using both simulated and real observational data.
We assess a range of widely used time series analysis
methods, including the Lomb–Scargle periodogram, phase
dispersion minimization, and the recently proposed singular
spectrum analysis (SSA). Our results demonstrate a clear and
significant degradation in period detection reliability when
the percentage of gaps exceeds 50 per cent. In such cases,
the period-significance relationship becomes increasingly
distorted, often leading to misleading results. Among the
tested methods, SSA stands out for its ability to yield
consistent and robust detections despite high data
incompleteness. Additionally, the analysed methods tend to
identify artificial periodicities of around one year, likely
due to seasonal sampling effects, which can result in false
positives if not carefully recognized. Finally, the periods
detected with ≥ 3σ confidence are unlikely to result from
stochastic processes or from the presence of gaps in the
analysed time series.},
cin = {$Z_GA$},
ddc = {520},
cid = {$I:(DE-H253)Z_GA-20210408$},
pnm = {613 - Matter and Radiation from the Universe (POF4-613) /
DFG project G:(GEPRIS)443220636 - FOR 5195: Relativistische
Jets in Aktiven Galaxien (443220636)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-613 / G:(GEPRIS)443220636},
experiment = {EXP:(DE-MLZ)NOSPEC-20140101},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
doi = {10.1093/mnras/staf1842},
url = {https://bib-pubdb1.desy.de/record/643486},
}