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@ARTICLE{Agazie:593120,
author = {Agazie, Gabriella and Anumarlapudi, Akash and Archibald,
Anne M. and Arzoumanian, Zaven and Baker, Paul T. and
Bécsy, Bence and Blecha, Laura and Brazier, Adam and Brook,
Paul R. and Burke-Spolaor, Sarah and Burnette, Rand and
Case, Robin and Charisi, Maria and Chatterjee, Shami and
Chatziioannou, Katerina and Cheeseboro, Belinda D. and Chen,
Siyuan and Cohen, Tyler and Cordes, James M. and Cornish,
Neil J. and Crawford, Fronefield and Cromartie, H. Thankful
and Crowter, Kathryn and Cutler, Curt J. and DeCesar, Megan
E. and DeGan, Dallas and Demorest, Paul B. and Deng, Heling
and Dolch, Timothy and Drachler, Brendan and Ellis, Justin
A. and Ferrara, Elizabeth C. and Fiore, William and Fonseca,
Emmanuel and Freedman, Gabriel E. and Garver-Daniels, Nate
and Gentile, Peter A. and Gersbach, Kyle A. and Glaser,
Joseph and Good, Deborah C. and Gültekin, Kayhan and
Hazboun, Jeffrey S. and Hourihane, Sophie and Islo, Kristina
and Jennings, Ross J. and Johnson, Aaron D. and Jones, Megan
L. and Kaiser, Andrew R. and Kaplan, David L. and Kelley,
Luke Zoltan and Kerr, Matthew and Key, Joey S. and Klein,
Tonia C. and Laal, Nima and Lam, Michael T. and Lamb,
William G. and W. Lazio, T. Joseph and Lewandowska, Natalia
and Littenberg, Tyson B. and Liu, Tingting and Lommen,
Andrea and Lorimer, Duncan R. and Luo, Jing and Lynch, Ryan
S. and Ma, Chung-Pei and Madison, Dustin R. and Mattson,
Margaret A. and McEwen, Alexander and McKee, James W. and
McLaughlin, Maura A. and McMann, Natasha and Meyers, Bradley
W. and Meyers, Patrick M. and Mingarelli, Chiara M. F. and
Mitridate, Andrea and Natarajan, Priyamvada and Ng, Cherry
and Nice, David J. and Ocker, Stella Koch and Olum, Ken D.
and Pennucci, Timothy T. and Perera, Benetge B. P. and
Petrov, Polina and Pol, Nihan S. and Radovan, Henri A. and
Ransom, Scott M. and Ray, Paul S. and Romano, Joseph D. and
Sardesai, Shashwat C. and Schmiedekamp, Ann and
Schmiedekamp, Carl and Schmitz, Kai and Schult, Levi and
Shapiro-Albert, Brent J. and Siemens, Xavier and Simon,
Joseph and Siwek, Magdalena S. and Stairs, Ingrid H. and
Stinebring, Daniel R. and Stovall, Kevin and Sun, Jerry P.
and Susobhanan, Abhimanyu and Swiggum, Joseph K. and Taylor,
Jacob and Taylor, Stephen R. and Turner, Jacob E. and Unal,
Caner and Vallisneri, Michele and van Haasteren, Rutger and
Vigeland, Sarah J. and Wahl, Haley M. and Wang, Qiaohong and
Witt, Caitlin A. and Young, Olivia},
title = {{T}he {NANOG}rav 15-year {D}ata {S}et: {E}vidence for a
{G}ravitational-{W}ave {B}ackground},
issn = {2041-8213},
address = {London},
publisher = {Institute of Physics Publ.},
reportid = {PUBDB-2023-05304, arXiv:2306.16213. arXiv:2306.16213},
year = {2023},
note = {30 pages, 18 figures. Published in Astrophysical Journal
Letters as part of Focus on NANOGrav's 15-year Data Set and
the Gravitational Wave Background. For questions or
comments, please email comments@nanograv.org},
abstract = {We report multiple lines of evidence for a stochastic
signal that is correlated among 67 pulsars from the 15 yr
pulsar timing data set collected by the North American
Nanohertz Observatory for Gravitational Waves. The
correlations follow the Hellings–Downs pattern expected
for a stochastic gravitational-wave background. The presence
of such a gravitational-wave background with a power-law
spectrum is favored over a model with only independent
pulsar noises with a Bayes factor in excess of 10$^{14}$,
and this same model is favored over an uncorrelated common
power-law spectrum model with Bayes factors of 200–1000,
depending on spectral modeling choices. We have built a
statistical background distribution for the latter Bayes
factors using a method that removes interpulsar correlations
from our data set, finding p = 10$^{−3}$ (≈3σ) for the
observed Bayes factors in the null no-correlation scenario.
A frequentist test statistic built directly as a weighted
sum of interpulsar correlations yields p = 5 × 10$^{−5}$
to 1.9 × 10$^{−4}$ (≈3.5σ–4σ). Assuming a fiducial
f$^{−2/3}$ characteristic strain spectrum, as appropriate
for an ensemble of binary supermassive black hole inspirals,
the strain amplitude is (median + 90\% credible interval) at
a reference frequency of 1 yr$^{−1}$. The inferred
gravitational-wave background amplitude and spectrum are
consistent with astrophysical expectations for a signal from
a population of supermassive black hole binaries, although
more exotic cosmological and astrophysical sources cannot be
excluded. The observation of Hellings–Downs correlations
points to the gravitational-wave origin of this signal.},
cin = {T},
ddc = {520},
cid = {I:(DE-H253)T-20120731},
pnm = {611 - Fundamental Particles and Forces (POF4-611) / DFG
project G:(GEPRIS)390833306 - EXC 2121: Quantum Universe
(390833306) / GRK 2149 - GRK 2149: Starke und schwache
Wechselwirkung - von Hadronen zu Dunkler Materie
(269952272)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-611 / G:(GEPRIS)390833306 /
G:(GEPRIS)269952272},
experiment = {EXP:(DE-MLZ)NOSPEC-20140101},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)25},
eprint = {2306.16213},
howpublished = {arXiv:2306.16213},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
SLACcitation = {$\%\%CITATION$ = $arXiv:2306.16213;\%\%$},
doi = {10.3204/PUBDB-2023-05304},
url = {https://bib-pubdb1.desy.de/record/593120},
}